James Turk: “This is option expiry week, Eric. As you and I have often discussed in the past, we know what to expect. Even though gold and silver started the week with strength, it is likely that their prices will now be capped, with some selling pressure as we approach option expiry…
The objective of the option writers is to push prices as low as they can so that as many call options as possible expire out of the money. Meaning they end up worthless. In this way the option writer earns the full premium, and more importantly, does not have to deliver physical metal for those options that still offer settlement with metal instead of cash settlement. The current
What I am describing of course is a rigged system, and one that is perpetuated by central banks. Today’s rigged system is the exact opposite of what existed under under the classical Gold Standard. When Sir Isaac Newton invented the classical Gold Standard circa 1700, he established a basic rule for the Bank of England to follow, which was adopted by other central banks. By the end of the 19th century, the British Empire and the gold-backed British pound dominated commerce, but the several other central banks that existed at the time eventually accepted the Gold Standard and followed the rule. The United States did not have a central bank then, but the individual banks that issued dollar currency also followed Newton’s rule.
Because the purchasing power of gold remains essentially unchanged over long periods of time, Newton’s basic rule was straightforward and simple to follow. To maintain adherence to the Gold Standard, the central bank was tasked with managing the quantity and quality of the currency it
This reality proves the point that we don’t need central banks to ‘manage’ our currency. The fact that gold preserves purchasing power over long periods of
So based on past experience, we can expect downward pressure on precious metal prices for the rest of this week, with the low likely to occur Thursday morning US time when Comex options go off the board. But it is always important to watch how option expiry unfolds because one of these months – and it may be this month – option expiry will not follow historical patterns.